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The current solar cycle (solar cycle 24) has confounded many observers, perhaps even the NOAA Solar Cycle Prediction Panel who had come to a consensus that the solar cycle presently underway would peak sometime during early 2013.
In fact, the current prediction model for this month of January, 2011, has it packed with between 50 and 55 new sunspots. The problem is… where are all the sunspots?
During early 2010 and again during mid 2010, it appeared as though the sunspot activity was rapidly increasing, even to the point of catching up with the current NOAA prediction model. During the last 4 months however, the sunspot activity has dramatically diminished.
Records indicate that only 14 sunspots (plus or minus depending on the chosen database) appeared during December 2010, while January 2011 has only produced 9 sunspots as of this writing (more than half way through the month), only 16 percent of expected!
If the current trend continues, we may be in store for some cold weather in our future. Many scientists agree that a decrease in sunspot activity will translate to cooler weather here on earth.
There is a lag effect with the cause-and-effect of low sunspot numbers and cool weather. That affect, coupled with the current ‘La Nina’ underway in the equatorial Pacific ocean, could be signaling a very cool Spring and Summer of 2011.
Time will tell of course, but if this becomes reality, it could badly affect the already dangerous situation of the current world food supply disruption from recent weather-related damaged crops (Russia, Australia, Brazil, Pakistan…
.
This weather related food crop damage coupled with the specter of higher inflation, all point towards much higher food prices in our future.
If you enjoyed this, or topics of preparedness, geophysical – current events – risks, consider our survival blog RSS feed, new posts by E-mail, or bookmark us at Modern Survival Blog
Modern Survival Blog related posts
Watch Out… Sunspot 1131, Enormous Filament
How SDO captures images of the Sun – Solar Dynamic Observatory
15 Interesting Facts about the Sun
Solar Flare – August 1, 2010
Something Extraordinary Happened on the Sun
Posted on Mon, 17 Jan 2011 20:52:05 +0000 at http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/ModernSurvivalBlog/~3/s4nzXvmovIQ/
Comments: http://modernsurvivalblog.com/solar-cycle/erratic-sunspots-smash-noaa-predictions/#comments
The current solar cycle (solar cycle 24) has confounded many observers, perhaps even the NOAA Solar Cycle Prediction Panel who had come to a consensus that the solar cycle presently underway would peak sometime during early 2013.
In fact, the current prediction model for this month of January, 2011, has it packed with between 50 and 55 new sunspots. The problem is… where are all the sunspots?
During early 2010 and again during mid 2010, it appeared as though the sunspot activity was rapidly increasing, even to the point of catching up with the current NOAA prediction model. During the last 4 months however, the sunspot activity has dramatically diminished.
Records indicate that only 14 sunspots (plus or minus depending on the chosen database) appeared during December 2010, while January 2011 has only produced 9 sunspots as of this writing (more than half way through the month), only 16 percent of expected!
If the current trend continues, we may be in store for some cold weather in our future. Many scientists agree that a decrease in sunspot activity will translate to cooler weather here on earth.
There is a lag effect with the cause-and-effect of low sunspot numbers and cool weather. That affect, coupled with the current ‘La Nina’ underway in the equatorial Pacific ocean, could be signaling a very cool Spring and Summer of 2011.
Time will tell of course, but if this becomes reality, it could badly affect the already dangerous situation of the current world food supply disruption from recent weather-related damaged crops (Russia, Australia, Brazil, Pakistan…
.This weather related food crop damage coupled with the specter of higher inflation, all point towards much higher food prices in our future.
If you enjoyed this, or topics of preparedness, geophysical – current events – risks, consider our survival blog RSS feed, new posts by E-mail, or bookmark us at Modern Survival Blog
Modern Survival Blog related posts
Watch Out… Sunspot 1131, Enormous Filament
How SDO captures images of the Sun – Solar Dynamic Observatory
15 Interesting Facts about the Sun
Solar Flare – August 1, 2010
Something Extraordinary Happened on the Sun
Posted on Mon, 17 Jan 2011 20:52:05 +0000 at http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/ModernSurvivalBlog/~3/s4nzXvmovIQ/
Comments: http://modernsurvivalblog.com/solar-cycle/erratic-sunspots-smash-noaa-predictions/#comments